Gold Price Prediction: Could Gold Hit $4,500/Ounce by End of 2025 Amid Global Market Instability?

New Delhi, India With growing global financial uncertainty fueled by the U.S.–China trade war and recent tariff escalations announced by former President Donald Trump, gold is once again taking center stage as a safe haven for investors. Analysts and market watchers are now raising a bold question: Will gold reach $4,500 per ounce by the end of 2025?

Global Economic Tensions Drive Bullish Outlook on Gold

The announcement of increased U.S. tariffs has triggered a wave of volatility across global markets. This ripple effect has now hit the Indian bullion market, where sentiment remains cautious and speculative.

According to investment banking giant Goldman Sachs, the target price for gold has been revised upward multiple times in recent months. Initially pegged at $3,300 per ounce in early March, the target was raised to $3,700, and now projections point toward a potential $4,500 per ounce by the end of 2025 — equivalent to over ₹1.36 lakh per 10 grams at current exchange rates.

Gold ETFs Surge as Investors Seek Shelter

The heightened demand for gold is not only evident in physical bullion but also in Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Last week, Gold ETFs crossed the $3,200 per ounce level for the first time, touching $324.69 per ounce, underscoring increased global buying activity.

Meanwhile, spot gold is currently trading at $3,223.67 per ounce, down slightly by 0.4%, and U.S. gold futures are at $3,240.90 per ounce, showing a marginal dip of 0.1%, according to Reuters. These figures indicate short-term market corrections, but the overall trend remains upward due to ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Can Gold Really Touch $4,500?

Market experts believe the possibility of gold reaching $4,500 per ounce hinges on several factors:

• Prolonged geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China

• High inflation or recessionary fears in the U.S. and European markets

• Weakening of global equity markets prompting a shift to safe assets

• Increased central bank gold purchases and retail investment demand

If these macroeconomic headwinds persist or intensify, gold may indeed hit record highs by the end of 2025.